From version 37.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/09/19 07:04
To version 38.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/09/19 07:06
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

Content changes

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50 50
51 51 **7.1) Accessing S2S models data**
52 52
53 -
54 -
55 55 **7.2) Visualizing S2S forecast products**
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57 57
58 -
59 -
60 -
61 61 ----
62 62
63 63 **1) Objectives**
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103 103 **3.2) The pilot real-time sub-seasonal MME prediction in WMO LC-LRFMME**
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105 105
106 -The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
101 +The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
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109 109
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728 728 |A subset of these data (currently from ECMWF, NCEP and CMA models) is also available through the [[IRI Data Library>>url:http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/home/.mbell/.ECMWF/.S2S/]] in various file formats including OpenDAP access. An introduction to the IRI Data Library is available in [[this presentation>>url:http://indico.ictp.it/event/a14264/session/6/contribution/13/material/0/0.pdf]].
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731 -
732 -
733 733 **7.2) Visualizing S2S forecast products**
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735 -
736 -
737 737 S2S forecast products from 6 S2S models (BoM, CMA, NCEP, UKMO, ECMWF, JMA) generated every Thursday since 7 January 2016 are available through [[this page>>url:http://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/projects/s2s/charts/s2s/]] developed at ECMWF.
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739 739 The currently available products include:

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