From version 33.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/08/24 05:57
To version 34.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/08/24 06:00
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

Content changes

... ... @@ -97,7 +97,7 @@
97 97 **3.2) The pilot real-time sub-seasonal MME prediction in WMO LC-LRFMME**
98 98
99 99
100 -The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
100 +The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
101 101
102 102
103 103
... ... @@ -503,7 +503,7 @@
503 503 |(((
504 504 [[BoM>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/BoM+Model+Description]]
505 505
506 -(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
506 +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
507 507
508 508
509 509
... ... @@ -522,7 +522,7 @@
522 522 |(((
523 523 [[CMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/CMA+Model+Description]]
524 524
525 -(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
525 +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
526 526
527 527
528 528
... ... @@ -552,7 +552,7 @@
552 552 |(((
553 553 [[CNRM>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/Meteo-France+Model+Description]]
554 554
555 -(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
555 +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
556 556
557 557
558 558
... ... @@ -588,7 +588,7 @@
588 588 (20 years)
589 589 )))|Once a week: On corresponding date to Thursday real time forecasts|4 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
590 590 |(((
591 -[[ECMWF>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ECMWF+Model+Description+CY41R2]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere)
591 +[[ECMWF>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ECMWF+Model+Description+CY41R2]] (Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
592 592
593 593
594 594
... ... @@ -641,7 +641,7 @@
641 641
642 642 )))|Twice a week: On Tuesdays and Wednesdays|Fixed|1981-2010 (30 years)|10, 20 and end of month|5 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
643 643 |(((
644 -[[KMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/KMA+Model+Description]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere)
644 +[[KMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/KMA+Model+Description]] (Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
645 645
646 646
647 647
... ... @@ -660,7 +660,7 @@
660 660
661 661 )))|1, 9, 17, 25|3 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
662 662 |(((
663 -[[NCEP>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/NCEP+Model+Description]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere)
663 +[[NCEP>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/NCEP+Model+Description]] (Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
664 664
665 665
666 666
... ... @@ -676,7 +676,7 @@
676 676 |(((
677 677 [[UKMO>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/UKMO+Model+Description]]
678 678
679 -(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
679 +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere)
680 680
681 681
682 682

Applications

This wiki is licensed under a Creative Commons 2.0 license
XWiki Enterprise 6.2.2 - Documentation