From version 30.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/07/04 07:32
To version 31.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/07/04 07:54
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

Content changes

... ... @@ -46,6 +46,12 @@
46 46
47 47 **~ 6.4) Datasets accessible via the KNMI Climate Explorer**
48 48
49 +**7) S2S project models**
50 +
51 +**7.1) Assessing S2S models data**
52 +
53 +
54 +
49 49 ----
50 50
51 51 **1) Objectives**
... ... @@ -91,7 +91,7 @@
91 91 **3.2) The pilot real-time sub-seasonal MME prediction in WMO LC-LRFMME**
92 92
93 93
94 -The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
100 +The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
95 95
96 96
97 97
... ... @@ -456,6 +456,7 @@
456 456
457 457 **6.4) Datasets accessible via the KNMI Climate Explorer**
458 458
465 +(% height="201" width="869" %)
459 459 |[[Daily station data>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectdailyseries.cgi?id=someone@somewhere]]
460 460 |[[Monthly station data>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectstation.cgi?id=someone@somewhere]]
461 461 |[[Daily gridded fields>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectdailyfield2.cgi?id=someone@somewhere]]
... ... @@ -462,4 +462,256 @@
462 462 |[[Monthly gridded observations>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_obs2.cgi?id=someone@somewhere]]
463 463 |[[Monthly reanalysis fields>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_rea.cgi?id=someone@somewhere]]
464 464 |
465 -\\\\\\\\\\\\\\
472 +\\\\(((
473 +**7) S2S project models**
474 +
475 +A total of 11 models are currently contributing to the S2S project data archive hosted at ECMWF ([[see documentation)>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/Home]]. The main features of the forecasts and re-forecasts of these 11 models are included in the table below:
476 +
477 +|**Model and Target forecast range**|**Resolution**|(((
478 +**Number of**
479 +
480 +**Real time ensemble members**
481 +)))|(((
482 +**Real time initial dates (freq)**
483 +
484 +**From 1 jan 2015**
485 +)))|**Re-forecasts**|(((
486 +**Reforecast period**
487 +
488 +**~ **
489 +)))|(((
490 +**Reforecast initial dates**
491 +
492 +**~ **
493 +)))|(((
494 +**Number of**
495 +
496 +**Reforecast ensemble members**
497 +)))
498 +|(((
499 +[[BoM>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/BoM+Model+Description]]
500 +
501 +(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
502 +
503 +
504 +
505 +Target
506 +
507 +forecast range: 62 days
508 +)))|(((
509 +T47L17
510 +
511 +(~~250 Km)
512 +)))|33 (1 ctrl)|Twice a week: On Sundays and Thursdays|Fixed|(((
513 +1981-2013
514 +
515 +(33 years)
516 +)))|1, 6, 11, 16, 21, 26|33 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
517 +|(((
518 +[[CMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/CMA+Model+Description]]
519 +
520 +(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
521 +
522 +
523 +
524 +Target
525 +
526 +forecast range: 60 days
527 +)))|(((
528 +T106L40
529 +
530 +(~~110 Km)
531 +)))|4 (1 ctrl)|Daily|Fixed|(((
532 +1994-2014
533 +
534 +(21 years)
535 +)))|Daily|4 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
536 +|(((
537 +[[CNR-ISAC>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ISAC-CNR+Model+Description]]
538 +
539 +(Atmospheric with slap ocean)
540 +
541 +
542 +
543 +Target
544 +
545 +forecast range: 31 days
546 +)))|0.75 x 0.56 L54|41 (1 ctrl)|Once a week: On Mondays|Fixed|1981-2010 (30 years)|Starting on 1 Jan 1981 in intervals of 5 days until 27 Dec 2010|1 for each initial date
547 +|(((
548 +[[CNRM>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/Meteo-France+Model+Description]]
549 +
550 +(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
551 +
552 +
553 +
554 +Target
555 +
556 +forecast range: 32 days
557 +)))|(((
558 +T255L91
559 +
560 +(~~80 Km)
561 +)))|51 (1 ctrl)|Once a week: On Thursdays|Fixed|(((
562 +1993-2014
563 +
564 +(22 years)
565 +)))|1, 15|(((
566 +15 for each initial date
567 +
568 +(1 ctrl)
569 +)))
570 +|(((
571 +[[ECCC>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ECCC+Model+Description]]
572 +
573 +(Atmospheric)
574 +
575 +
576 +
577 +Target
578 +
579 +forecast range: 32 days
580 +)))|0.45 x 0.45 L40|21 (1ctrl)|Once a week: On Thursdays|On the fly|(((
581 +1995-2014
582 +
583 +(20 years)
584 +)))|Once a week: On corresponding date to Thursday real time forecasts|4 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
585 +|(((
586 +[[ECMWF>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ECMWF+Model+Description+CY41R2]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere)
587 +
588 +
589 +
590 +Target
591 +
592 +forecast range: 46 days
593 +)))|(((
594 +Tco639/319 L91
595 +
596 +(~~16 Km up to day 15, ~~32 Km after day 15)
597 +)))|51 (1 ctrl)|Twice a week: On Mondays and Thursdays|On the fly|(((
598 +1996-2015
599 +
600 +1995-2014
601 +
602 +(Past 20 years)
603 +)))|Twice a week: On Mondays and Thursdays|11 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
604 +|(((
605 +[[HMCR>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/HMCR+Model+Description]]
606 +
607 +(Atmospheric)
608 +
609 +
610 +
611 +Target
612 +
613 +forecast range: 61 days
614 +
615 +
616 +)))|1.1x1.4 L28|20 (1 ctrl)|Once a week: On Wednesdays|On the fly|(((
617 +1985-2010
618 +
619 +(26 years)
620 +)))|Once a week: On corresponding date to Wednesday real time forecasts|10 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
621 +|(((
622 +[[JMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/JMA+Model+Description]] (Atmospheric)
623 +
624 +
625 +
626 +Target
627 +
628 +forecast range: 33 days
629 +)))|(((
630 +T319L60
631 +
632 +(~~55 Km)
633 +)))|(((
634 +25 (1 ctrl)
635 +
636 +
637 +)))|Twice a week: On Tuesdays and Wednesdays|Fixed|1981-2010 (30 years)|10, 20 and end of month|5 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
638 +|(((
639 +[[KMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/KMA+Model+Description]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere)
640 +
641 +
642 +
643 +Target
644 +
645 +forecast range: 60 days
646 +)))|(((
647 +N216L85
648 +
649 +(~~60 Km)
650 +)))|4 (1 ctrl)|Daily|On the fly|(((
651 +1996-2009
652 +
653 +(14 years)
654 +
655 +
656 +)))|1, 9, 17, 25|3 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
657 +|(((
658 +[[NCEP>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/NCEP+Model+Description]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere)
659 +
660 +
661 +
662 +Target
663 +
664 +forecast range: 44 days
665 +)))|(((
666 +T126L64
667 +
668 +(~~100 Km)
669 +)))|16 (1 ctrl)|Daily|Fixed|1999-2010
670 + (12 years)|Daily|4 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
671 +|(((
672 +[[UKMO>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/UKMO+Model+Description]]
673 +
674 +(Coupledocean-atmosphere)
675 +
676 +
677 +
678 +Target
679 +
680 +forecast range: 60 days
681 +)))|(((
682 +N216L85
683 +
684 +(0.83 x 0.56
685 +
686 +~~60 Km in mid-latitudes)
687 +)))|4 (1 ctrl)|Daily|On the fly|(((
688 +1996-2009
689 +
690 +(14 years)
691 +
692 +1996-2015
693 +
694 +(20 years)
695 +)))|1, 9, 17, 25|3 for each initial date (1 ctrl)
696 +
697 +
698 +
699 +**7.1) Assessing S2S models data**
700 +
701 + S2S forecast and re-forecast data are available through [[ECMWF>>url:http://s2s.ecmwf.int/]] and [[CMA>>url:http://s2s.cma.cn/index]].
702 +
703 +|(((
704 +ECMWF provides two alternatives for accessing S2S model data (both forecasts and re-forecasts):
705 +
706 +1) [[Via a web data portal>>url:http://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/s2s]] (grib format only)
707 +
708 +2) Via a webAPI interface (with Python capability for downloading files). For this see these [[instructions>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/WEBAPI/Access+ECMWF+Public+Datasets]] and [[examples>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/WEBAPI/Python+S2S+examples]]. Additional information including information on how to extract data for specific regions and in netcdf format is available in [[this page>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/WEBAPI/WebAPI+FAQ]] and also in these two presentations ([[pages 6 to 16 of this presentation>>url:http://indico.ictp.it/event/a14264/session/9/contribution/22/material/0/0.pdf]] and [[this presentation>>url:http://indico.ictp.it/event/a14264/session/3/contribution/6/material/0/0.pptx]]).
709 +)))
710 +|CMA provides access to S2S model data (both forecasts and re-forecasts) [[via a web data portal>>url:http://s2s.cma.cn/dataset]].
711 +|A subset of these data (currently from ECMWF, NCEP and CMA models) is also available through the [[IRI Data Library>>url:http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/home/.mbell/.ECMWF/.S2S/]] in various file formats including OpenDAP access. An introduction to the IRI Data Library is available in [[this presentation>>url:http://indico.ictp.it/event/a14264/session/6/contribution/13/material/0/0.pdf]].
712 +
713 +
714 +
715 +
716 +
717 +
718 +
719 +
720 +
721 +
722 +
723 +\\
724 +)))

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