From version 26.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/06/17 03:17
To version 27.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/06/17 03:18
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Content changes

... ... @@ -93,7 +93,7 @@
93 93 **3.2) The pilot real-time sub-seasonal MME prediction in WMO LC-LRFMME**
94 94
95 95
96 -The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
96 +The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
97 97
98 98
99 99
... ... @@ -439,12 +439,12 @@
439 439 NOAA NCEP
440 440
441 441 CPC
442 -)))|Pentad/Monthly (2.5 x 2.5 degrees in lar and lon)|[[Xie and Arkin (1997)>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078%3C2539:GPAYMA%3E2.0.CO;2]]
442 +)))|Pentad/Monthly (2.5 x 2.5 degrees in lat and lon)|[[Xie and Arkin (1997)>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078%3C2539:GPAYMA%3E2.0.CO;2]]
443 443 |Precipitation|(((
444 444 [[GPCC>>url:ftp://ftp-anon.dwd.de/pub/data/gpcc/html/download_gate.html]]
445 445
446 446
447 -)))|DWD|Daily/Monthly (1.0 x 1.0 degrees in lar and lon)|(((
447 +)))|DWD|Daily/Monthly (1.0 x 1.0 degrees in lat and lon)|(((
448 448 [[Schamm et al. (2013)>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.5676/DWD_GPCC/FG_D_100]]
449 449
450 450 [[Schamm et al. (2015)>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.5676/DWD_GPCC/FD_D_V1_100]]
... ... @@ -454,9 +454,8 @@
454 454
455 455
456 456 )))|NOAA NCEP
457 -CPC|Monthly (2.5 x 2.5 degrees in lar and lon)|[[Xie and Arkin (1997)>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078%3C2539:GPAYMA%3E2.0.CO;2]]
457 +CPC|Monthly (2.5 x 2.5 degrees in lat and lon)|[[Xie and Arkin (1997)>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078%3C2539:GPAYMA%3E2.0.CO;2]]
458 458
459 -
460 460 **6.4) Datasets accessible via the KNMI Climate Explorer**
461 461
462 462 (% height="185" width="323" %)
... ... @@ -465,4 +465,3 @@
465 465 |[[Daily gridded fields>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectdailyfield2.cgi]]
466 466 |[[Monthly gridded observations>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_obs2.cgi]]
467 467 |[[Monthly reanalysis fields>>url:https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_rea.cgi]]
468 -

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