From version 22.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/06/16 11:14
To version 23.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/06/16 11:16
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

Content changes

... ... @@ -47,7 +47,7 @@
47 47 **3.2) The pilot real-time sub-seasonal MME prediction in WMO LC-LRFMME**
48 48
49 49
50 -The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
50 +The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:[email protected]]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies.
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53 53
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248 248 **6) Available reference verification datasets for assessing S2S forecast quality**
249 249
250 250
251 -**6.1 Atmospheric parameters (e.g. geopotential height, temperature, SLP, wind, etc)**
251 +**6.1) Atmospheric parameters (e.g. geopotential height, temperature, SLP, wind, etc)**
252 252
253 253 (% height="407" width="767" %)
254 254 |**Reanalysis**|**Source**|**References**
... ... @@ -267,7 +267,7 @@
267 267
268 268
269 269
270 -**6.2 Oceanic parameters**
270 +**6.2) Oceanic parameters**
271 271
272 272 |**Variable**|**Name**|**Source**|**Characteristics**|**References**
273 273 |Sea Surface temperature|(((
... ... @@ -317,7 +317,7 @@
317 317 [[Access via IRI Data Library>>url:http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.NOAA/.NCEP/.EMC/.CMB/.GODAS/]]
318 318 )))|NCEP|Monthly 0.333 x 1.0 degree in lat and lon)|See [[this link>>url:http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.godas.html]]
319 319
320 -**6.3 Surface parameters**
320 +**6.3) Surface parameters**
321 321
322 322 |**Variable**|**Name**|**Source**|**Characteristics**|**References**
323 323 |Surface air temperature|(((

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