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3 3 * Recommend verification metrics and datasets for assessing forecast quality of S2S forecasts
4 4 * Provide guidance for a potential centralized verification effort for comparing forecast quality of different S2S forecast systems, including the comparison of multi-model and individual ensemble systems and consider linkages with users and applications
5 5
6 +The [[//S2S verification science plan//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/Verification.pdf]] provides more detailed information about this sub-project.
7 +
6 6 **2) Membership:**
7 7
8 8 Caio Coelho (CPTEC/INPE, Brazil)
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87 87
88 88 Richardson DS (2000) Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. //Quart. J. Royal Met. Soc.//, **126**, 649-667. DOI: 10.1002/qj.49712656313 [[http:~~/~~/onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.49712656313/abstract>>url:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.49712656313/abstract]]
89 89
92 +Roulston MS, Smith LA (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. //Mon. Wea. Rev.//, **130**, 1653-1660. DOI: [[http:~~/~~/dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<1653:EPFUIT>2.0.CO;2>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130%3c1653:EPFUIT%3e2.0.CO;2]]
93 +
90 90 Stephenson DB, Casati C, Ferro CAT, Wilson CA (2008) The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events. //Meteorol. Appl.//, **15**, 41-50. DOI: 10.1002/met.53 [[http:~~/~~/onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.53/abstract>>url:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.53/abstract]]
91 91
92 92 Stephenson DB, Coelho CAS, Jolliffe IT (2008) Two extra components in the Brier Score Decomposition, //Wea. Forecasting//, **23**, pp 752-757. doi: [[http:~~/~~/dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007WAF2006116.1>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007WAF2006116.1]]
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