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Changes for document S2S sub-project on verification and products
From version 10.2
edited by Administrator
on 2016/04/11 09:45
on 2016/04/11 09:45
To version 11.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/04/11 23:02
on 2016/04/11 23:02
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AdminS2S_ver
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3 | 3 | * Recommend verification metrics and datasets for assessing forecast quality of S2S forecasts |
4 | 4 | * Provide guidance for a potential centralized verification effort for comparing forecast quality of different S2S forecast systems, including the comparison of multi-model and individual ensemble systems and consider linkages with users and applications |
5 | 5 | |
6 | +The [[//S2S verification science plan//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/resources/documents/sub-projects/Verification.pdf]] provides more detailed information about this sub-project. | |
7 | + | |
6 | 6 | **2) Membership:** |
7 | 7 | |
8 | 8 | Caio Coelho (CPTEC/INPE, Brazil) |
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87 | 87 | |
88 | 88 | Richardson DS (2000) Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. //Quart. J. Royal Met. Soc.//, **126**, 649-667. DOI: 10.1002/qj.49712656313 [[http:~~/~~/onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.49712656313/abstract>>url:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.49712656313/abstract]] |
89 | 89 | |
92 | +Roulston MS, Smith LA (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. //Mon. Wea. Rev.//, **130**, 1653-1660. DOI: [[http:~~/~~/dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<1653:EPFUIT>2.0.CO;2>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130%3c1653:EPFUIT%3e2.0.CO;2]] | |
93 | + | |
90 | 90 | Stephenson DB, Casati C, Ferro CAT, Wilson CA (2008) The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events. //Meteorol. Appl.//, **15**, 41-50. DOI: 10.1002/met.53 [[http:~~/~~/onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.53/abstract>>url:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.53/abstract]] |
91 | 91 | |
92 | 92 | Stephenson DB, Coelho CAS, Jolliffe IT (2008) Two extra components in the Brier Score Decomposition, //Wea. Forecasting//, **23**, pp 752-757. doi: [[http:~~/~~/dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007WAF2006116.1>>url:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007WAF2006116.1]] |